Housing prices continue to adjust, national economic data in May: production and consumption continue to pick up
The National Bureau of Statistics held a press conference today to release economic data for May. Industry, services, total retail sales of consumer goods, fixed asset investment, and imports and exports of goods all showed significant growth, showing that the national economy continued to recover, production grew steadily, demand continued to recover, the balance of international payments was balanced, and the overall operation was stable. Data related to the real estate market were released simultaneously, and the sales prices of commercial housing in various cities in May fell month-on-month, and the year-on-year decline slightly widened.
In industrial production, equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing industries have shown good growth momentum. In May, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size nationwide increased by 5.6% year-on-year and 0.30% month-on-month. The added value of equipment manufacturing increased by 7.5%, and the added value of high-tech manufacturing increased by 10.0%, which were 1.9 and 4.4 percentage points faster than the growth rates of all industries above designated size, respectively. From the product perspective, the output of 3D printing equipment, new energy vehicles, and integrated circuit products increased by 36.3%, 33.6%, and 17.3% year-on-year, respectively. From January to April, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size nationwide reached 2,094.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.3%.
The service industry continued to recover, especially the modern service industry. In May, the national service industry production index increased by 4.8% year-on-year, 1.3 percentage points faster than the previous month. In terms of industries, the production index of information transmission, software and information technology services, leasing and business services, transportation, warehousing and postal services, and wholesale and retail industries increased by 12.9%, 8.8%, 5.6% and 5.0% year-on-year, respectively, 2.1, 2.7, 1.3 and 1.5 percentage points faster than the previous month. From January to April, the operating income of service enterprises above designated size increased by 8.2% year-on-year. Among them, the business activity index of postal, telecommunications, radio, television and satellite transmission services, Internet software and information technology services, culture, sports and entertainment industries is in a high prosperity range above 55.0%.
Market sales also picked up. In May, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 3921.1 billion yuan, up 3.7% year-on-year, 1.4 percentage points faster than the previous month, and up 0.51% month-on-month. By consumption type, retail sales reached 3493.7 billion yuan, up 3.6%; catering revenue reached 427.4 billion yuan, up 5.0%. Sales of some upgraded products grew rapidly, with the retail sales of sports and entertainment products, cosmetics, communication equipment, household appliances and audio-visual equipment of units above the designated size increasing by 20.2%, 18.7%, 16.6% and 12.9% respectively.
Imports and exports of goods showed rapid growth. In May, the total import and export of goods was 3707.7 billion yuan, an increase of 8.6% year-on-year. Among them, exports were 2147.1 billion yuan, an increase of 11.2%; imports were 1560.7 billion yuan, an increase of 5.2%. After deducting imports and exports, the trade surplus was 586.4 billion yuan. From January to May, the total import and export of goods was 17504.2 billion yuan, an increase of 6.3%. Among them, exports were 9950.2 billion yuan, an increase of 6.1%; imports were 7554.1 billion yuan, an increase of 6.4%. In terms of categories, from January to May, the export of mechanical and electrical products increased by 7.9%, accounting for 59.0% of the total exports.
In terms of fixed asset investment, investment in high-tech industries grew rapidly. From January to May, the national fixed asset investment was 18,800.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.0%; excluding real estate development investment, the national fixed asset investment increased by 8.6%. In terms of industries, investment in the primary industry increased by 3.0% year-on-year, investment in the secondary industry increased by 12.5%, and investment in the tertiary industry remained the same year-on-year. Investment in high-tech industries increased by 11.5% year-on-year, of which investment in high-tech manufacturing and high-tech services increased by 10.4% and 14.3% respectively. In the high-tech manufacturing industry, investment in aviation, spacecraft and equipment manufacturing, and electronic and communication equipment manufacturing increased by 53.1% and 10.4% respectively; in the high-tech service industry, investment in e-commerce services and information services increased by 32.5% and 19.1% respectively.
The National Bureau of Statistics also released relevant data on the national real estate market. From January to May, the national real estate development investment was 4063.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.1%; of which, residential investment was 3082.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.6%. The sales area of new commercial housing in the country was 366.42 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 20.3%, of which residential sales area decreased by 23.6%. The sales of new commercial housing was 3566.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 27.9%, of which residential sales decreased by 30.5%. In May, the real estate development prosperity index was 92.01.
From the perspective of housing prices, the sales prices of newly built commercial housing in 70 large and medium-sized cities have mostly declined. In terms of new houses, the sales prices of newly built commercial housing in first-tier cities fell by 0.7% month-on-month, a decrease of 0.1 percentage point from the previous month; it fell by 3.2% year-on-year, a decrease of 0.7 percentage point from the previous month. The sales prices of newly built commercial housing in second- and third-tier cities fell by 0.7% and 0.8% month-on-month respectively. Among the large cities, Beijing, Guangzhou and Shenzhen fell by 1.1%, 1.4% and 0.8% month-on-month respectively. Shanghai rose by 0.6% month-on-month and 4.5% year-on-year.
In terms of second-hand housing, the sales price of second-hand housing in first-tier cities fell by 1.2% month-on-month, a decrease of 0.1 percentage point from the previous month; it fell by 9.3% year-on-year, a decrease of 0.8 percentage point from the previous month. The sales prices of second-hand housing in second- and third-tier cities fell by 1.0% and 0.9% month-on-month respectively. The four cities of Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen fell by 1.2%, 1.3%, 1.6% and 1.0% month-on-month respectively.
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