The peak may occur between October and December, and this autumn, a moderate intensity El Ni ñ o event will form in the Middle East Pacific | Equator | Event
On September 6th, Pengpai News learned from the National Climate Center that the equatorial Middle East Pacific is currently in an El Ni ñ o state. It is expected to form a moderate intensity eastern type El Ni ñ o event in the autumn of this year, with the peak possibly occurring between October and December of this year.
Distribution map of sea surface temperature anomalies in July 2023
In terms of ocean monitoring, in July 2023, the sea surface temperature in most of the equatorial Pacific was higher than the same period in previous years, and the warm water center in the eastern Pacific was higher by more than 2.0 ℃. The sea surface temperature index in Ni ñ o3.4 area is 1.11 ℃, an increase of 0.18 ℃ compared to the previous month. The average sliding value of the index in the past three months is 0.84 ℃. Monitoring data shows that the current state of El Ni ñ o is maintained in the equatorial central and eastern Pacific.
In terms of tropical atmospheric characteristics, in July 2023, the Southern Oscillation Index was -0.52, a decrease of 0.82 compared to the previous month. Most of the equatorial Pacific is convective active.
![The peak may occur between October and December, and this autumn, a moderate intensity El Ni ñ o event will form in the Middle East Pacific | Equator | Event](https://a5qu.com/upload/images/881640fe06d03133380720939f93c2fb.jpg)
The National Climate Center stated that based on domestic and international dynamic climate models and statistical methods, it is expected that the sea surface temperature in the equatorial eastern Pacific will continue to rise in the next three months, and a moderate intensity eastern type El Ni ñ o event will form in the autumn of this year, with a peak possibly occurring between October and December this year.