More patience is needed. Economic Daily: Real estate market stabilizes in the first quarter | recovery | market

Release time:Apr 13, 2024 20:53 PM

The real estate market showed clear signs of recovery in the first quarter of this year. But in April and May, this trend did not continue better. According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, in April, the overall increase in residential sales prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities decreased compared to the previous month, with fewer cities experiencing a month on month increase in prices. From the market response, the market activity in May is still not high compared to the first quarter.

At present, the real estate market is still in a period of adjustment, and the decline in April and May should be viewed rationally. Before 2023, real estate development enterprises gradually faced tight funding chains, and the impact of the epidemic on construction progress made it difficult to deliver new commercial residential buildings on time. The market is clearly declining, and homebuyers are in a strong wait-and-see mood. In the first quarter of 2023, many cities experienced a double increase in sales volume and sales prices, and the current decline is considered a normal fluctuation in the process of stabilization and recovery. Relevant departments and regions continue to introduce supportive policies, relax restrictions on home purchases, alleviate financial pressure, and increase financial support. However, the implementation and effectiveness of these policies will take some time. We should have more patience and confidence in the stabilization and recovery of the real estate market, as well as its sustained, stable and healthy development.

Actually, overall it may not be that bad. Both in terms of sales volume and sales price, the current real estate market remains stable and has not experienced a significant decline. There are obvious signs of recovery in the first quarter of this year, due to the concentrated release of the backlog of housing demand in the past year and a half or even longer after the optimization and adjustment of epidemic policies. There was a certain decline in April and May compared to the first quarter, which is a normal adjustment. Some cases of "low down payment", "negative down payment", and house price reductions currently only occur in individual projects with relatively remote geographical locations, and do not represent the situation of the entire city. The number of second-hand housing listings has increased in some cities for multiple reasons, including a certain amount of demand for replacement. Some homebuyers upgrade their living conditions by selling old houses for new ones or selling small ones for larger ones. Moreover, "sell one buy one" can facilitate the transfer of ownership with collateral, as well as enjoy convenience and benefits such as tax reduction and exemption, which also has a certain promoting effect on second-hand housing transactions.

We should still be confident in the stabilization and recovery of the real estate market. From January to April, the national residential sales area increased by 2.7%, and residential sales increased by 11.8%, both of which have accelerated. The tight financial situation of real estate development enterprises has also been alleviated. The news from real estate brokerage firms shows that the current enthusiasm of consumers to view houses is still good, indicating that the real demand for buying houses is not weak. Another real estate brokerage firm also believes that they are confident in the overall stability of the market, and the market transaction volume in 2023 will experience a steady recovery compared to last year.

The urbanization process in our country is still steadily advancing, and the high economic activity has led to frequent population mobility. The people still have high expectations for the improvement of living quality, which can strongly support the large demand in the real estate market in our country. The real estate industry will still be a big and good industry, and the real estate market is expected to further achieve stable and healthy development.

For the stable and healthy development of the real estate market, more patience is needed. There should be a bit of patience in the sustained effects of various policies that promote the stabilization and recovery of the real estate market. In the past 20 years of rapid development, the real estate industry has formed a "high leverage, high debt, high turnover" model, which will gradually become history. Our demand for housing has shifted from having it in the past to being good or not, and the market has gradually entered a stage of smaller total volume, slower growth rate than in the past, and stable development.

In the process of transitioning from the "three highs" to the new development model, enterprises are actively exploring and policies will gradually be improved. In this process, enterprises need to change their mindset and even experience the pains of transformation. If the high turnover model in the past has supported this industry to make faster money, in the future, the real estate industry will usher in new opportunities in areas such as leasing and purchasing, operating service-oriented businesses, and urban renewal. It is more likely to make small, slow, and hard money, and seek benefits from management, service, and operation. It also requires more patience and effort.

At present, we should continue to make every effort to promote the delivery of guaranteed buildings, and complete the delivery of houses on schedule and with guaranteed quality, which will help restore the confidence of all parties in the real estate market. We should further explore the space for policy adjustment and optimization to help the market stabilize and recover. Strongly support the purchase of the first home and reasonably support the purchase of a second home. We should turn our attention back to the houses themselves, and providing better quality and better housing that meets market demand will help promote housing consumption.

In the long run, we should continue to improve the housing security system, so that new citizens, young people, and others can take root in the city through affordable housing, and work hard to alleviate their housing concerns. After they have a certain amount of savings, they will gradually form new purchasing power.

Two women were stabbed to death and reported to have committed a crime 4 days before the follow-up visit for schizophrenia. Suspect of a bloody murder case in a Hong Kong shopping mall appeared in court today. Male | Last Friday | Murder case
Two women were stabbed to death and reported to have committed a crime 4 days before the follow-up visit for schizophrenia. Suspect of a bloody murder case in a Hong Kong shopping mall appeared in court today. Male | Last Friday | Murder case

According to Hong Kong's Wen Wei Po, a bloody knife stabbing case occurred at Hollywood Square in Diamond Hill last Friday. The police arrested a 39 year old man on suspicion of stabbing two young women, one of whom was stabbed over 30 times. The suspect appeared in the Kwun Tong Magistrates Court this morning. The police at the Kwun Tong Magistrate's Court temporarily charged the suspect with two counts of murder last Sunday. The suspect appeared in court this morning at the Kwun Tong Magistrate's Court. Acting Chief Magistrate Zheng Jihang, after listening to the opinions of both the prosecution and defense, decided to postpone the hearing for two weeks until 9:30 am on June 19th, waiting for two psychiatric expert reports to be obtained. The defense did not object. Zheng Jihang approved the application, and the defendant needs to be temporarily detained at Xiaolan Mental Hospital. When the suspect appeared in court, he wore black framed glasses, a light gray shirt, and camouflage green shorts, and was able to answer the judge's questions normally. accordingly

Secretary of the Provincial Party Committee: The focus of Henan's "summer harvest" has shifted to agricultural machinery in the northern region of Henan Province. | Support | Science | Organization | Province | Northern Henan | Summer Harvest | Rush Harvest
Secretary of the Provincial Party Committee: The focus of Henan's "summer harvest" has shifted to agricultural machinery in the northern region of Henan Province. | Support | Science | Organization | Province | Northern Henan | Summer Harvest | Rush Harvest

Currently, the highly anticipated summer harvest work in Henan has shifted its focus to the northern region of Henan. According to the Henan Daily client, on June 4th, Lou Yangsheng, Secretary of the Henan Provincial Party Committee, presided over a special video scheduling meeting on the "Three Summers" work in the province, listened to the situation report, analyzed and judged the situation, and arranged and deployed the next steps of work. Governor Wang Kai made specific arrangements. On the evening of May 31, 2023, in Xiafutou Village, Xuliang Town, Boai County, Jiaozuo, Henan Province, villagers braved light rain in the wheat fields to harvest wheat. Visual China Map Lou Yangsheng pointed out that the current summer harvest battle in the province has entered the decisive stage. Doing a good job in summer harvest in northern Henan Province is related to the summer grain yield and seed safety. We should focus on seizing opportunities and make every effort to organize the wheat harvesting work in the northern Henan region, minimize losses, and protect the interests of farmers to the greatest extent possible. Accurate forecasting is essential

Xinhua All Media+| Welcome home! What innovative technologies are protecting the return journey of Shenzhou 15? Spaceship | Shenzhou | Technology
Xinhua All Media+| Welcome home! What innovative technologies are protecting the return journey of Shenzhou 15? Spaceship | Shenzhou | Technology

On June 4th, the return capsule of the Shenzhou-15 manned spacecraft successfully landed at the Dongfeng landing site. Astronauts Fei Junlong, Deng Qingming, and Zhang Lu all safely and smoothly exited the spacecraft, and the Shenzhou-15 manned flight mission was a complete success. What innovative technologies are there to safeguard the return journey of Shenzhou 15 in this mission? On June 4th, the return capsule of the Shenzhou-15 manned spacecraft successfully landed at the Dongfeng landing site. Xinhua News Agency reporter Lian Zhen photographed that "the sky and the ground" ensure the high-precision return of spacecraft. For the Shenzhou series spacecraft, the return and re-entry GNC technology is directly related to the life safety of astronauts. Taking the success of this return mission as a symbol, China has comprehensively upgraded its GNC system since the Shenzhou-12 manned spacecraft, which features autonomous rapid rendezvous and docking, autonomous adaptive prediction and re-entry return guidance, and has completed a comprehensive update and replacement

The Chinese naval fleet has arrived! Assembly | Navy | Chinese Fleet
The Chinese naval fleet has arrived! Assembly | Navy | Chinese Fleet

At noon today, a Chinese naval fleet consisting of Zhanjiang and Xuchang ships arrived at the assembly area of the "Comodo-2023" multinational maritime joint exercise. It is understood that the assembly anchorage for this exercise is 3 nautical miles long and 1.5 nautical miles wide, capable of anchoring up to 50 ships. Naval vessels from various countries participating in the exercise will also arrive at the anchorage today to complete the assembly of the "Komodo 2023" multinational maritime joint exercise, which is held every two years by the Indonesian Navy. This year is already the fourth edition of the exercise. The exercise will be held from June 5th to 8th in the city of Jakarta, South Sulawesi Province, Indonesia, including the port and sea phases. In the coming days, participating navies from various countries will participate in ship reading style search and rescue exercises, maritime interception and damage management exercises, aerial exercises, and other course objectives exercises

New comment: Donkey like "morale" limit pulls US debt "bomb" fuse hard to dismantle US | debt | morale
New comment: Donkey like "morale" limit pulls US debt "bomb" fuse hard to dismantle US | debt | morale

On the evening of June 1st, the US Senate passed a bill on the federal government's debt ceiling and budget, and the flame of the US debt bomb was temporarily extinguished at the last moment. The two parties in the United States have staged an extreme tug of war over the US debt bomb. Some experts believe that the US debt crisis is the result of the reckless politics promoted by the US dollar hegemony, and the underlying cause of this crisis is the highly polarized political system of the US. Since the end of World War II, the US Congress has adjusted the debt ceiling more than a hundred times. The recurring debt crisis will not only have a catastrophic impact on the US economy and people's livelihoods, but also continuously erode the value of US dollar assets such as government credit and US bonds, bringing significant and far-reaching impacts to the global economic landscape. 【