Different countries have different reactions to this! Why can the tense situation quickly ease?, Wagner organization withdrew from two southern states of Russia | Wagner | two states

According to reports from Russian media on the 25th, private military entity Wagner organized troops to withdraw from the southern regions of Lipetsk and Voronezh in Russia. In response to the Wagner incident, Türkiye, Iran, Venezuela and other countries expressed their support for Russia to calm the incident. The Ukrainian side is paying close attention to the development of the incident. President Biden of the United States and leaders of France, Germany, Britain and other countries discussed the domestic situation in Russia by telephone.

On the 25th, Russian news agency reported on social media that the Wagner organization troops who stayed in Lipetsk Oblast on the 24th have withdrawn from the state, citing a statement by the Lipetsk Oblast government. Earlier that day, the Russian news agency reported, citing Governor Gusev of Voronezh Oblast, that Wagner's organized troops were orderly withdrawing through the state without any conflict.

As of now, there are no reports on the final destination of Wagner's organized troops.

On the evening of the 24th, Belarusian political analyst Jigin revealed on a television program the details of negotiations between White President Lukashenko and the founder of the Wagner organization, Prigoren. Ji Jin said that after obtaining the consent of Russian President Putin, Lukashenko had a phone call with Prigoren to convey Putin's confirmed plan. Ji Jin revealed that Lukashenko also urgently convened two domestic strong department meetings on the same day, requiring relevant departments to enter a standby state.

On the 25th, Russian news agency quoted Alexei Logvinenko, the mayor of Rostov on the Don River, as reporting on social media that preliminary data shows that equipment organized by Wagner has caused damage to over 10000 square meters of roads in the city, and related repair projects have begun.

Türkiye's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan spoke with Putin on the phone on the 24th and expressed his support for Putin to quell the armed rebellion instigated by the Wagner organization.

According to the Islamic Republic of Iran News Agency, Iranian Foreign Minister Abdullahian had a phone conversation with Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov on the 24th. Abdullahian emphasized that the Wagner incident is entirely a domestic issue in Russia and believes that the Russian side can overcome temporary difficulties.

The Venezuelan government issued a statement on the 24th, stating that the Venezuelan government and people condemn the rebellion instigated by the Wagner organization and its leaders, and the Venezuelan side supports Russian President Putin.

On the 24th, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuliba said on social media that he had a telephone conversation with US Secretary of State Brynken the same day to exchange views on the domestic situation in Russia. He said that Ukraine and the United States are closely monitoring the domestic situation in Russia, and with the support of the United States, Ukraine will continue to focus on promoting a counterattack.

The White House issued a statement on the 24th stating that Biden had phone conversations with French President Macron, German Chancellor Scholz, and British Prime Minister Sunak on the same day. During the call, all parties discussed the domestic situation in Russia and emphasized their continued support for Ukraine.

On the 24th, the French Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement stating that France maintains communication with other members of the Group of Seven and the European Union regarding the situation in Russia, while closely monitoring local developments to ensure the safety of French nationals and diplomatic consuls in Russia. The French Ministry of Foreign Affairs also issued a consular reminder that it is currently not recommended for its citizens to travel to Russia.

Hotspot Q&A: Why can the tension caused by the Wagner incident quickly ease

On the evening of June 24th, Prigoren, the founder of the Russian private military entity Wagner Organization, accepted the suggestion of Belarusian President Lukashenko to stop the organization's operations within Russia and take further measures to ease tensions. Members of the Wagner organization stopped moving within Russia and turned back to the field camp. The members and heavy equipment of the organization completely left the area where the headquarters of the Southern Russian Military Region was located late on the 24th.

The Wagner organization was suspected of inciting rebellion late at night on the 23rd, leading to tension within Russia. On the evening of the 24th, the tense situation moved towards easing. How was this achieved?

Russian President's Statement to Deter Rebels

The key milestone in easing the Wagner incident was a televised speech by Russian President Putin on the 24th.

Putin said that the actions of division and unity are essentially a betrayal of the people and comrades fighting on the front line, and a "backstabbing stab" to the country and people. The organizers of the rebellion who betrayed Russia will be punished for this. Putin urged those who were dragged into this crime to stop participating in criminal activities.

Russian public opinion generally believes that Putin's characterization of this incident demonstrates his firm determination to maintain national unity, greatly shaking the participants in the rebellion and shaking their will.

Russian political analyst Bashirov believes that some members of the Wagner organization "did not voluntarily participate in the rebellion". "After President Putin clearly pointed out that this was a rebellion, they found themselves misled, and the president's speech played an important role in solving the problem.".

The Russian Ministry of Defense has called on members of the Wagner organization through the media not to participate in the rebellion. The Russian Ministry of Defense said that many members of the organization are aware of their mistakes and request help. All seekers have received necessary assistance, and the Russian Ministry of Defense will ensure the safety of everyone.

"20 year old friend" intervenes to mediate

At around 20:00 Moscow time on the 24th, the media successively reported a turning point in the Wagner incident: Prigoren accepted the proposal of Belarusian President Lukashenko to stop the Wagner organization's operations in Russia and take further measures to ease tensions.

This news was immediately confirmed by Prigoren himself and the Russian side. Russian Governor of Rostov Oblast, Golubev, posted on social media that members of the Wagner organization have withdrawn from Rostov on the Don River and are heading to their field camp. At this point, the incident tends to ease.

The Kremlin said that Lukashenko voluntarily participated in mediation "because he has a 20-year friendship with Prigoren", and the Russian side respects Lukashenko's efforts to mediate the Wagner incident.

Russian public opinion generally believes that Putin guarantees that Prigoren can go to Belarus and will revoke his criminal record, members of the Wagner organization who participated in the 24 day operation will not be prosecuted, and members of the Wagner organization who did not participate in the rebellion can sign contracts with the Russian Ministry of Defense. These are important prerequisites for achieving reconciliation.

Russian military expert Shurejin believes that as the situation develops, achieving reconciliation is extremely necessary for both sides: for Putin, it is important not to let the confrontation escalate into bloodshed, let alone take military action to eliminate combat capable military organizations; For Prigoren, his radical actions have "cornered" him and plunged him into despair, so achieving reconciliation is equally necessary for him.

Russian public opinion condemns the rebellion on one side

Russian public opinion believes that social pressure is also an important factor in Prygo's final compromise. Representatives, politicians, religious leaders, and others from all over Russia strongly condemned this incident and clearly stated that they are on the side of the Russian federal government and stability and peace.

After Putin defined the actions of members of the Wagner organization as rebellion, former president of the Russian National Space Corporation, Rogozin, warned Prigorn on social media not to help the enemy but to fully support the front line. The Chief Executive of the Russian Coastal Territory, Koremiako, issued a statement calling on members of the Wagner organization to "remain sober" and "not commit crimes that will be regretted.".

Russian political commentator Batulin believes that this incident lacks the support of the public and social elites, and all sectors of Russian society generally trust Putin. "Internal differences cannot shake the foundation of the Russian state.".