American media: The United States already knew in advance about Prigo's military action plan, Wagner | Organization | United States
US media reported on the 24th that the US intelligence agency has pre assessed the plans of Wagner organization founder Prigoren to take military action against Russian defense agencies.
The Washington Post reported, citing a US official, that as early as mid June, US intelligence agencies had determined based on the intelligence obtained that Prigoren planned to take military action against Russian defense agencies. Over the past two weeks, US intelligence officials have reported the situation to officials from the White House, State Department, Department of Defense, and congressional leaders.
On the 10th, the Russian Ministry of Defense issued an order stating that all non-governmental forces voluntarily participating in Russia's special military operations against Ukraine must sign contracts with the Russian government. According to US media reports, the US intelligence agency believes that this move implies that the Russian government will incorporate Wagner's organizational forces, which may lead to the latter taking military action against Moscow. The report also quoted a US official as saying that US intelligence agencies believe that Russian President Putin will learn of Prigoren's plans no later than before Wagner organizes troops to launch military operations.
According to reports from American media, officials from the United States and other Western countries believe that the approximately 24-hour "Wagner organization armed rebellion" has not yet caused widespread cracks between Russian President Putin and the leadership of the Russian military, and Prigoren is still regarded as the leader of the Wagner organization.
Unlike the active dissemination of relevant intelligence by the US on the eve of the escalation of the crisis in Ukraine, the US intelligence agency did not timely disclose information on the military actions planned by the Wagner organization. According to an analysis by The New York Times, this is mainly due to two considerations: firstly, to prevent the Russian side from accusing the United States of planning a coup in Russia; Secondly, "completely disinterested" helped Putin avoid an event that led to a decline in his support.
The report states that the conflict between Prigo and Russian Defense Minister Shoigu and Russian Chief of General Staff Grasimov has been ongoing for many years. Earlier this year, Jack Tessela, a member of the US Air Force National Guard, was suspected of leaking US military intelligence through social media. According to reports, the US learned through eavesdropping about discussions among senior Russian military officials on how to respond to Prigoren, who continued to demand that the Russian government provide ammunition supplies to Wagner's organized forces.