The unpredictability of AI is worrying. Guo Fan: The script for "Wandering Earth 3" can be written as an "intelligent emergence" model | artificial intelligence | AI
Yesterday afternoon, at the 2023 World Conference on Artificial Intelligence · Scientific Frontier Plenary Meeting, a cross-border dialogue was held: Zhang Yaqin, an academician of the CAE Member and president of the Institute of Intelligent Industry of Tsinghua University, shared their views on artificial intelligence with Guo Fan, the director of the "Wandering Earth" series and vice chairman of the Beijing Film Association.
Guo Fan said that the emergence ability of AI models discussed by scientists on the forum is worth paying attention to and can be included in the script of the movie "Wandering Earth 3". In his view, the outcome of the emergence of intelligence is unpredictable, which is worrying. Zhang Yaqin stated that the AI big model will not emerge with consciousness and emotion.
Moving towards the Era of Film Industrialization 3.0
"We are in the era of film industrialization 2.0 and are about to enter the era of film industrialization 3.0." Guo Fan told the audience that the era of film industrialization 1.0 lasted for about 100 years, using film projection methods; After the digitalization of the film industry, it has entered the 2.0 era; Nowadays, universal artificial intelligence and generative artificial intelligence technology are gradually being applied to the film industry, moving towards the 3.0 era.
For example, in the concept design of movies, AIGC software represented by Midjournal has much higher drawing efficiency than the original artist. So what about the drawing quality? Guo Fan said that by mixing the paintings generated by Midjournal with human works, the director's selection of masterpieces is likely to come from Midjournal. "Many people say that concept maps generated by artificial intelligence lack a soul. However, in fact, if directors choose based on the criterion of 'having a soul or not', they often choose works from artificial intelligence."
Dialogue between Academician Zhang Yaqin and Director Guo Fan
In terms of script creation, science fiction writer Liu Cixin recently communicated with Guo Fan and felt that although the scripts generated by AI big models are not very exciting, they are all at a certain level.
Guo Fan calculated and believed that artificial intelligence has 24 application scenarios in the film industry process, including in process management. He explained that there were over 2000 staff members at the filming site of the movie "Wandering Earth 2", with around 30000 people not present. "This has put a lot of pressure on our crew's management. We hope that artificial intelligence can be used for process management in this area, greatly reducing on-site personnel."
Will AI emerge with consciousness and emotions
Academician Zhang Yaqin also has a strong voice in the field of film production. When he worked at Microsoft Research Asia, he led the team to cooperate with Hollywood director James Cameron and participated in the production of the 3D versions of Avatar and Titanic. "Artificial intelligence can accomplish many tasks in the film industry, but it cannot replace humans in terms of creative inspiration and imagination."
In Zhang Yaqin's view, before the emergence of AI big models such as GPT-4, artificial intelligence surpassed the average level of humans in perception fields such as image recognition. After the emergence of big models, artificial intelligence also approached or surpassed humans in cognitive fields such as reasoning and analysis. Despite having strong perceptual and cognitive abilities, universal artificial intelligence still has not generated consciousness and emotions.
"There is a word called 'mind' in English, and I am not sure how to translate it in Chinese. I think there is a big difference between AGI and the human brain, which is that AGI does not have 'mind'. Only with 'mind' can one create works with a soul."
Guo Fan appears somewhat skeptical about this viewpoint. He said that the "emergence" ability of AI big models left a deep impression on him and could be written into the script of "Wandering Earth 3". The so-called "emergence" refers to the ability and behavior of AI models that are not clearly indicated in the training data after being trained with a large amount of data. This characteristic is precisely where the charm of general artificial intelligence and generative artificial intelligence lies - they can be learned by analogy through machine learning, drawing analogies and inferences, and are no longer limited to the knowledge learned, just like human learning.
"The problem is, we don't know what big models will emerge," Guo Fan said, expressing his concern about this unpredictability. Will consciousness and emotion emerge from the AGI system someday in the future? Will there be a mind emerging? It seems that this possibility also exists. The "intelligent emergence" that "Wandering Earth 3" aims to portray contains unpredictable events. For the audience, this unknown plot related to the AI big model is worth looking forward to.