Pilot development of "Mosquito Disturbance Index", Shanghai establishes the first national mosquito vector joint monitoring and forecasting system Mosquito | Monitoring | Forecasting
Jiefang Daily's Shangguan News reporter learned today from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau that the country's first mosquito vector joint monitoring and forecasting system has entered the implementation stage, and will pilot the development of a "mosquito disturbance index" forecasting and early warning system.
The Mosquito Disturbance Index is expected to continue expanding the national meteorological index forecasting product matrix. According to incomplete statistics, dozens of meteorological index forecasting products have been developed nationwide, including clothing, tourism, sun protection, car washing, pollen, etc., continuously integrating into the daily lives of ordinary citizens.
The breakthrough of the first national mosquito vector joint monitoring and forecasting system lies not only in technological innovation, but also in the innovation of mechanism and system.
"Climate change is changing the habitat and species distribution of mosquitoes and other vector organisms, bringing new pressure to the prevention and control of infectious diseases. This means that clarifying the relationship between mosquito reproduction and survival and meteorological factors has become an important issue that requires cross departmental and cross disciplinary cooperation research." Zhou Ji, Deputy Director of the Yangtze River Delta Environmental Meteorological Forecasting and Warning Center, told reporters that mosquito vector joint monitoring and forecasting is based on the cooperation framework agreement between the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and the Municipal Health Commission on the "Weather Climate based Infectious and Chronic Disease Warning and Forecasting System".
Traditional mosquito vector monitoring is the sole responsibility of the disease control department, and observation points are set up in various districts of Shanghai. Due to the significant impact of microenvironment on mosquito activity, the monitoring comparability between different locations is poor, making it difficult to capture the patterns between mosquito reproduction and survival and weather.
After achieving joint observation, Shanghai added monitoring points located around meteorological stations to the existing mosquito vector monitoring network. 13 joint monitoring pilot sites are located in Xuhui District, Hongkou District, and Minhang District, covering the suburbs and central urban areas. "Meteorological stations have certain requirements for their establishment. If mosquito monitoring is carried out near the station, it can ensure that the activity microenvironment of mosquitoes is basically similar, making the spatial distribution of monitoring points more reasonable." Zhou Ji said.
In recent years, the meteorological department of Shanghai has continued to explore the implementation of the "+meteorology" concept, and has embarked on a new path of intelligent meteorological development from monitoring to perception, from forecasting to prediction, and from service to empowerment, implementing "precise monitoring, accurate forecasting, and precise service".
This year, the mosquito vector joint monitoring and forecasting system focuses on the monitoring and analysis stage. Based on joint monitoring data, this study aims to investigate the patterns of meteorological and mosquito species, distribution, and seasonal fluctuations, in order to provide support for dynamic intelligent prediction and index release of mosquito density development trends based on weather forecasts, risk assessment and transmission prediction of mosquito borne infectious diseases such as dengue fever, and enhance Shanghai's public health emergency response capabilities.