Everyone becomes a supporting role. American media: except Trump, the Republican presidential candidate is the first to stand in the 2024 US election | Iowa | Trump
On the 28th local time, the Republican Party of the United States held a rally in Iowa, and more than ten Republican presidential candidates for the 2024 US election appeared on stage one by one. Among them, the first joint appearance of former US President Trump and his main competitor, Florida Governor De Santis, has attracted attention from the outside world. According to the public opinion, the same stage seems to show the latest trend before the 2024 U.S. presidential election: Trump still dominates the race for the nomination of the Republican presidential candidate, while others become supporting role.
Trump takes the stage with warm applause
On the 28th, the Republican Party of the United States held a dinner in Iowa, with 13 Republican candidates taking the stage one by one to canvass 1200 Republican voters participating in the event, each with a total of 10 minutes to speak. In addition to Trump and De Santis, former US Vice President Pence, former US Permanent Representative to the United Nations Haley, and South Carolina Senator Scott also made appearances on stage.
It is reported that Iowa will hold early Republican primaries, which are also seen as a barometer of the presidential election situation. In the 2016 presidential primaries, Trump only finished second in Iowa, which was seen as a breakthrough point by some of Trump's competitors.
American media noticed that when Trump took the stage, the background music was quite responsive. On that day, each candidate played a segment of the song "Only in America" when they appeared on stage. Whether intentionally or unintentionally, when Trump took the stage, the song was singing, "Some people may go to jail, some may become the president."
On the day before this rally, Trump, who was plagued by lawsuits, faced new charges once again.
On the 27th, Smith, a special prosecutor appointed by the US Department of Justice, filed new charges against Trump in the case of "improper handling of classified documents", stating that Trump instructed his subordinates to delete the surveillance footage of his private residence at Sealake Estate in Palm Beach, Florida.
Smith is also investigating whether Trump incited supporters to storm Capitol Hill on January 6, 2021, in an attempt to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election. In addition, Trump is also facing charges in a New York state court on suspicion of paying a "sealing fee" to a pornographic star during his first presidential campaign.
Faced with multiple accusations, Trump once again attempted to portray himself as a victim of political persecution on the 28th. He said that if he doesn't participate in the election or if his chances of winning are not high, there won't be anyone chasing him relentlessly.
At the rally held on the 28th, the reaction of Republican voters in Iowa also showed that they did not mind Trump's lawsuit.
When Trump took the stage, the most enthusiastic applause of the night echoed from below, and almost the entire audience stood up and shouted loudly. In addition, when former Texas Congressman Will Hurd criticized Trump on stage, stating that his candidacy was not to "make America great again," but to avoid going to jail, he was also booed loudly from the audience and even shouted "get out of here.".
According to CNN, it only took Trump 10 minutes to demonstrate that despite facing increasing criminal charges, he has not lost his dominant position in the Republican presidential race, and his opponents have found him so difficult to defeat.
Still the "absolute protagonist"
The public opinion believes that Trump remains the "absolute protagonist" at this Iowa rally, which means it will be more difficult than imagined to shake Trump's position in the 2024 election.
Previously, Agence France Presse analyzed that the competition within the Republican Party presented a "three track" pattern: Trump, who ranked first, followed closely by De Santis, and everyone else.
But the New York Times analyzed on the 29th that the latest trend has evolved into a competition between Trump and everyone else, with Trump playing the lead and De Santis becoming the opening guest.
The article cites Republican strategist Craig Robinson from Iowa, stating that unlike six months ago, Trump is widening the gap with De Santis, and everyone is trying to replace him.
CNN also believes that Trump's display of strength on the evening of the 28th means that if he performs strongly in Iowa, the leading state in the primaries, other candidates will have a prolonged battle with this leader in the primaries.
According to analysis, the next major opportunity for Republican presidential candidates may be the first Republican campaign debate held by Fox News on August 23 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Trump has announced that he will not participate in this debate. But Republican candidates who want to surpass Trump are facing pressure.
Currently, De Santis is attempting to change his campaign strategy. Due to concerns from donors about his extravagant spending and performance in the election, De Santis was forced to downsize his campaign team and start holding small gatherings to increase interaction with voters.
Pence and other candidates face the dilemma of not being eligible to participate in the Republican Party's first campaign debate. Some candidates lack a sense of presence and are still trying to attract the attention of voters.
Another analysis suggests that Trump's strong voter base makes challengers hesitant to attack his legal dilemma. CNN believes that if Trump ultimately becomes the Republican presidential candidate, it will cause them trouble.
According to a poll conducted by the US website Five ThirtyEight as of July 27th, Trump's approval rating among Republican candidates is still as high as 52.4%, significantly ahead of De Santis, who has a 15.5% approval rating. The support rate of the other candidates is less than 10%.
A poll conducted by the Harvard Center for American Political Studies from July 19th to 20th also showed that Trump still holds a dominant position among conservative voters with 52% of the vote, ahead of De Santis who received 12% of the vote. Vivek Ramaswamy, a biotech entrepreneur, is starting to emerge with a 10% approval rating.